October delivers strong results
October 2024 was an excellent month for our trading portfolio, with total profits of +42 points across all systems. This represents one of our strongest performing months of the year and demonstrates the power of disciplined, system-based trading during favorable market conditions.
System 1 was the standout performer, contributing +28 points alone. The system benefited from a particularly strong run of overvalued favorites in UK racing, with our selection criteria identifying several high-profile horses that failed to perform as the market expected.
System-by-system breakdown
System 1: Lay Favourites
An exceptional month. Several high-profile favorites in Group races underperformed, contributing to the strong returns.
System 2: Value Lays
Solid performance in line with long-term expectations. The system continues to deliver consistent value.
Key takeaways
This month reinforces several important principles:
Trust the systems during good runs: When systems are performing well, it's tempting to increase stakes or deviate from the plan. We stuck to level staking throughout.
Variance works both ways: Just as September was below expectation, October exceeded it. Over time, results regress to the mean.
Don't get overconfident: Strong months are enjoyable, but they don't change our long-term expectations or risk management approach.
Looking Ahead to November
Portfolio Performance
Year-to-date, our portfolio now stands at +187 points across all systems. This puts us comfortably ahead of our annual target of +150 points with two months remaining in 2024.
As always, these results are verified and available for download via CSV. Every bet is tracked at BSP (Betfair Starting Price) to ensure realistic, achievable results.
Final Thoughts
October was a reminder of why we stick to our systems through both good and bad periods. The statistical edges we've identified don't produce linear returns – some months will be below average, some above. The key is maintaining discipline and trusting the process.
For members: Thank you for your continued support and trust. Daily selections continue as normal, and System 4 launch preparations are on track for December 1st.